I think the thing that Samseau is pointing out about failed projections is the problem.
Life is one big gamble.
There are too many variables out there to safely predict whether or not the singularity will happen.
That said, I was surprised to hear that an AI passed the turing test this week. And, yes, it is indistinguishable from a human, than it is human. Whose to say that everyone but yourself is just a zombie or what Daniel Dennet calls a Zimbo. I think there's a lot semantic confusion in these matters..
I also think there are things about statistics that we need to keep in mind when talking about all this stuff.. tipping points, randomness, etc.
Life is one big gamble.
There are too many variables out there to safely predict whether or not the singularity will happen.
That said, I was surprised to hear that an AI passed the turing test this week. And, yes, it is indistinguishable from a human, than it is human. Whose to say that everyone but yourself is just a zombie or what Daniel Dennet calls a Zimbo. I think there's a lot semantic confusion in these matters..
I also think there are things about statistics that we need to keep in mind when talking about all this stuff.. tipping points, randomness, etc.