Duke team total Over 80.5 vs Indiana.
Duke has too many scorer's, most importantly Marvin Bagley. I typically don't love betting overs, but this is an exception as Bagley dominates with post moves and high percentage layups and dunks. Indiana is far from the best defensive team to begin with...but who is going to stop Bagley? He has 30+ in his last two games.
Duke dropped at least 87 on both Michigan St (WITHOUT Bagley) and Florida. Absolutely love this bet. 3 units for the first time this year.
Other marginal one unit bets,
Evansville-New Mexico U138 - Evansville seems to be the team that dictates the pace in every game they play, and that pace is slow. No team has scored over 63 against them this year. This is my favorite of the three one unit bets.
Louisiana Tech (+11) at Alabama - I watched Louisiana Tech last week, they haven't played top notch competition yet, but they are 6-0 and not a bad team. I picked TX-Arlington (+10.5) on the road at Alabama last week and even put a small bet on the moneyline. They ended up losing by only 1 point straight up. Alabama is coming off the super weird 3-on-5 game vs Minnesota. Everyone seems to be impressed that they cut a 14-point lead to 3 with only 3 players, but is ignoring the fact they were down 12 at halftime before the craziness took place. One of their key freshman is questionable with an ankle injury sustained in that game. Also, I think most teams would be either much more or much less motivated/disciplined following a shit show game like that - my gut tells me Alabama is the latter.
Wyoming (-6.5) at Denver U - No specific reason, I just think Wyoming is just a much better team and homecourt advantage won't mean much. This one is really marginal also to be honest.
Duke has too many scorer's, most importantly Marvin Bagley. I typically don't love betting overs, but this is an exception as Bagley dominates with post moves and high percentage layups and dunks. Indiana is far from the best defensive team to begin with...but who is going to stop Bagley? He has 30+ in his last two games.
Duke dropped at least 87 on both Michigan St (WITHOUT Bagley) and Florida. Absolutely love this bet. 3 units for the first time this year.
Other marginal one unit bets,
Evansville-New Mexico U138 - Evansville seems to be the team that dictates the pace in every game they play, and that pace is slow. No team has scored over 63 against them this year. This is my favorite of the three one unit bets.
Louisiana Tech (+11) at Alabama - I watched Louisiana Tech last week, they haven't played top notch competition yet, but they are 6-0 and not a bad team. I picked TX-Arlington (+10.5) on the road at Alabama last week and even put a small bet on the moneyline. They ended up losing by only 1 point straight up. Alabama is coming off the super weird 3-on-5 game vs Minnesota. Everyone seems to be impressed that they cut a 14-point lead to 3 with only 3 players, but is ignoring the fact they were down 12 at halftime before the craziness took place. One of their key freshman is questionable with an ankle injury sustained in that game. Also, I think most teams would be either much more or much less motivated/disciplined following a shit show game like that - my gut tells me Alabama is the latter.
Wyoming (-6.5) at Denver U - No specific reason, I just think Wyoming is just a much better team and homecourt advantage won't mean much. This one is really marginal also to be honest.